Perhaps the end ofAfrica's 27-year war


LONDON – Jonas Savimbi was like the war in Angola itself: he went on and on, seemingly forever. Whatever peace deal was negotiated he was sure to break it, sure to find another sponsor who’d trade diamonds for guns. He outlasted most of his principal rivals and he certainly outlasted his godfather, the Cold War, and the earnest need of the superpowers to woo friends who were prepared to engage in a proxy war against the friends of the rival superpower. In the end, such was his tenacity and his masterly improvisation, he showed that he could survive and live to fight another day without a superpower behind him.

When America finally but belatedly turned against him he wooed the malevolent and rich dictator of neighbouring Zaire, and when that ended with Mobutu’s death he befriended the presidents of Togo, Rwanda and Burkina Faso. Anyone who’d sell him a gun or a howitzer or buy his diamonds.

Now he’s dead, shot in the neck. Twenty-seven years after the war began the army of his principal rival finally got him. They always said they would. But it took a long time, a very long time and in these endless years the country has been laid low. The hospitals in the war zones are all closed, the roads destroyed, the earth scorched, children wasted, often orphaned, living in sewers in Luanda, the capital, for want of a roof over their head. According to the Red Cross Angola has suffered more from the agonies of war than any other country in Africa.

In 1975 Portugal, recently having succumbed to revolution itself against its long time fascist dictator Salazar, decided to wash its hands of its rebellious African colonies. It agreed to negotiate a hand over to three rival independence movements, which had consented to abide by elections. If democracy had been allowed to prevail then more than a million lives might have been saved.

But the U.S. Secretary of State Henry Kissinger believed he knew better. He was obsessed with the ideological bias of one of the factions, the MPLA (Popular Movement for the Liberation of Angola) toward Moscow and Havana and he talked president Gerald Ford into a clandestine adventure that was to lead Angola away from the ballot to the bullet.

Only days after the peace agreement with Portugal was signed, establishing a transitional power-sharing government, the CIA intervened and sent $300,000 in cash to a rival faction, the CIA’s long term client the FNLA (National Front for the Liberation of Angola), which used the money to launch an all-out military attack on the MPLA.

The CIA payment, although made without the knowledge of the U.S. Congress or public, was soon known to Moscow which quickly resumed large-scale arms shipments to the MPLA and in March 1975, Cuba sent in 230 advisers. The ratchet of superpower competition began. The United States dispatched $28 million in covert aid to the FNLA and to a third faction, Jonas Savimbi’s UNITA, the National Union for Total Independence of Angola which soon eclipsed the FNLA.

White-ruled South Africa watched closely. Believing it had been given a wink and a nod from Kissinger it invaded Angola on August 5th. The MPLA besieged called in the Cubans.

President Ford was angry. He announced that Cuba had committed “a flagrant act of aggression”. Fortunately wiser heads prevailed in Congress, and Senator Dick Clark piloted through an amendment outlawing any more clandestine aid to Angola.

Jimmy Carter became president and his Administration worked hard to resolve the Angolan imbroglio and the linked issue of independence from South Africa for its southern neighbour Namibia. But once Ronald Reagan supplanted Carter in the White House the U.S. quickly reverted to its old habits. Reagan, persuading Congress to rescind the Clark Amendment, resumed military aid to Savimbi and South Africa reverted to total intransigence on Namibian independence. The war went through another savage cycle until a massive onslaught by newly arrived Cuban tanks and MIG fighters in June 1988 routed the South African forces and demoralized its troops.

South Africa announced it was prepared to agree to both a timetable for Namibian independence and to pull out of Angola. The Cubans, likewise, agreed to go home. It was hardly a triumph against communism. If anything it was the opposite since in the ensuing elections the Marxist-inclined MPLA routed the opposition.

A thousand international observers monitored the first free election in September 1992. But no outsiders were going to make Savimbi give up his personal struggle for power. Even though America, his patron, moved to ostracise him as his behaviour became increasingly uncompromising and belligerent he refused lay down the sword. The carnage continued and has continued until this day, apart from a short-lived peace agreement in 1994 and again in 1997.

Savimbi’s death doesn’t end the war; some of his acolytes will doubtless want to continue where he left off. But it is doubtful if any of them have the charisma or the drive to make much of a go of it. The MPLA government in Luanda has now offered UNITA the chance of peace. Twenty-seven years on this time it might arrive.

I can be reached by phone +44 7785 351172 and e-mail: JonatPower@aol.com

Foreign affairs columnist, film-maker and author

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